HDW Probabilities

Especially Experimental!

The idea for this page is to create a product that acts similar to QPQF at NOAA's WPC. Each of these figures shows the probability that the forecast HDW percentile exceeds the chosen threshold for each day in the forecast. (In other words, a 0.8 shading in a 75th percentile image means that 80% of the GEFS members have an HDW value greater than the 75th percentile for that day.) This is something we're trying based on user request, so it's still very much in development. Click on an image to see it full size.


50th Percentile 75th Percentile 90th Percentile 95th Percentile
Day 0
Day +1
Day +2
Day +3
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Day +6